ML Performance Claims

• can predict crime as rare events with actionable lead time
• works in multiple US cities
• flex AUC between 80 to 90%
• Need to compute precision recall

Sociology Claims

• property and violent crimes limit each other
• poorer neighborhoods are underserved by law enforcement, have more destabilizing effect in poorer neighborhoods for increased perturbations
• long range connectivity exists
• Less predictable the crime, better socioeconomic state we are in